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Student Projection

The student projections found in the TVAAS restricted website are the same calculations provided as in previous years and are based only on student information from the 2018-19 school year and earlier. The projections are based on each student's testing history from 2019 and earlier as well as the average schooling experience from 2019. These projections do not use achievement data from the 2019-20 school year.

For example, if a student in fourth grade took an ELA assessment in 2018-19, then they received a student projection in fall 2019 for fifth and sixth grade. Since there was no assessment in spring 2020, the student's sixth-grade projection would remain the same in fall 2020. These projections, when combined with information and resources available locally, might assist educators with planning for students' academic success.

The Student Projection Report provides a reliable indicator of a student's likelihood of reaching future assessment milestones. The report typically displays the selected student's probability of reaching the minimum score for each of the state's performance levels.

For ACT, the reports display the student's probability of reaching meaningful benchmark scores for each subject. For AP exams, the reports display the student's probability of scoring at least a 2, 3, or 4.

When used alongside other information, the projection data offers useful indicators for:

  • Placing students into courses
  • Placing students with teachers
  • Identifying students who need sustained interventions
  • Identifying students who would benefit from enrichment opportunities
  • Planning for differentiated instruction in the classroom
  • Planning for students' college readiness